Edmonton Oilers (63-35-7) vs Florida Panthers (67-29-8)
June 21, 2024 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers -120 / Florida Panthers +100 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article we will formulate a Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction for NHL game 6 on Friday, June 21st at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. To formulate this prediction for game six in the series, we will examine:
- The Panthers recent form and recent player performance
- The Oilers recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Florida
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Edmonton
- Recent betting trends in games played between Florida and Edmonton
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Florida and Edmonton
Panthers Have No Momentum
The Florida Panthers have had two chances to close out Edmonton in this series, but they have been unsuccessful and will play a huge game six here. Florida lost game five at home by a score of 5-3, despite dominating the third period. The Panthers fell behind 3-0 and 4-1 in the second period, but they did cut the lead to 4-3, before Edmonton added an empty net goal. Florida recorded 32 shots on goal, 44 hits, and went 0-3 on the power play in the loss.
Florida won the first three games in this series by scores of 3-0, 4-1, and 4-3, but they have allowed 13 goals in the last two games. The Panthers defeated the Lightning, Bruins, and Rangers in the first three rounds. Florida is scoring 3.18 goals per game, while going 19.7% on the power play and 87.5% on the penalty kill. Matthew Tkachuk has led Florida with six goals, 16 assists, and 81 shots on goal, while Aleksander Barkov has added seven goals, 14 assists, and 54 shots.
Oilers are Riding High
The Edmonton Oilers were down 3-0 in the series and they looked hopeless, but two consecutive victories have put them right back in this series. Edmonton won game four at home by a score of 8-1, then won game five on the road by a score of 5-3. The Oilers jumped out to a 3-0 lead in game five and they were able to barely hang on for the win. Edmonton recorded 24 shots on goal, 16 hits, and went 2-5 on the power play in the win.
Edmonton defeated the Kings, Canucks, and Stars in the first three rounds of the postseason. The Oilers are scoring 3.48 goals per game, while going 30.6% on the power play and 93.8% on the penalty kill. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with eight goals, 34 assists, and 73 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added six goals, 26 assists, and 66 shots.
Starting Goalies
The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Stuart Skinner, who is 13-8 this postseason with a 2.54 goals against average and an .898 save percentage. The projected starting goalie for Florida is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 15-7 with a 2.35 goals against average and a .906 save percentage.
Why the Edmonton Oilers will win
- The Oilers have won each of their last 12 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games following a home loss.
- The Panthers have lost the first period in each of their last four games following a home loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Five of the Oilers’ last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents at Rogers Place have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Panthers’ last three games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in nine of the Panthers’ last 10 games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
- Connor McDavid has scored a goal in four of the Oilers’ last five night Game 6s of a playoff series.
- Connor McDavid has recorded two or more points in each of the Oilers’ last six playoff games at Rogers Place.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last four playoff games when facing elimination.
- Connor McDavid ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (26) this season.
Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Aleksander Barkov has scored at least one goal in three of his last four appearances at Rogers Place.
- Gustav Forsling has recorded at least one assist in each of the Panthers’ last four playoff games as road underdogs.
- Sam Bennett has recorded at least one point in nine of the Panthers’ last 10 night games.
- Gustav Forsling ranks 1st in the league for Plus/Minus (+56) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Edmonton Oilers are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (33.8).
- The Florida Panthers rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.51%).
- The Florida Panthers rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (1116).
Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction
Edmonton comes into this matchup with all of the momentum, and they will be at home, where they have been very good this season. The Oilers have out scored Florida by a total of 13-4 in the last two games, and Bobrovsky’s confidence has to be pretty low coming into this game. Edmonton has absolutely dominated the special teams in this series, as their penalty kill has generated a couple of goals and their power play is finally starting to get going. I know Edmonton is an extremely popular pick in this game, but I don’t see how we can go against them here. The Oilers are rolling offensively and Skinner is playing with confidence. My Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction is for Edmonton to win and force a game seven.