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Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction NHL Picks 5/31/24

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Dallas Stars (62-26-11) vs Edmonton Oilers (59-32-7)

May 31, 2024 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -130 / Edmonton Oilers +110 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article we will formulate an Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars prediction for this NHL game on Friday, May 31st at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game five in the series, we will examine:

  • The Oilers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Stars recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Edmonton
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Dallas
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Edmonton and Dallas
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Edmonton and Dallas

Edmonton Found Their Offense 

The Edmonton Oilers were able to win game four by a score of 5-2 on Wednesday night and the series is now tied at two. Edmonton won game one by a score of 3-2, but they lost games two and three by combined scores of 8-4. The Oilers had been struggling to score goals, as they scored three goals or fewer in seven of the eight games prior to game four, but they were able to score five times in that game for the win. Edmonton recorded 29 shots on goal, 47 hits, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. 

Edmonton defeated the LA Kings in five games in the first round and they got by Vancouver in seven games in the second round. The Oilers are scoring 3.63 goals per game, while going 32.6% on the power play and 93.2% on the penalty kill. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with four goals, 24 assists, and 48 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added 10 goals, 16 assists, and 56 shots on goal. 

Dallas Looks for Better Home Effort 

The Dallas Stars were able to pick up a nice comeback win in game three of this series by a score of 5-3, but they blew a 2-0 lead in game four in the loss. Dallas also won game two by a score of 3-1 and they will have home ice in this matchup. The Stars almost took a 3-1 lead in game four, but they were out scored 5-0 over the last 50 minutes for the 5-2 loss. The Stars recorded 22 shots on goal, had 24 hits, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. 

Dallas defeated the Vegas Golden Knights in seven games in the first round and took care of Colorado in six games in the second round, but they are just 4-5 in their last nine home games. The Stars are scoring 2.94 goals per game, while going 22.5% on the power play and 75% on the penalty kill. Jason Robertson and Miro Heiskanen have led Dallas with six goals and 10 assists, while Johnston and Benn have added 15 points each. 

Starting Goalies

The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 10-7 this postseason with a 2.20 goals against average and a .919 save percentage. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Stuart Skinner, who is 9-5 this postseason with a 2.71 goals against average and an .887 save percentage. 

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

  • The Oilers have won each of their last five Friday games as road underdogs.
  • The Stars have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have covered the puck line in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Stars have lost the second period in three of their last four games at American Airlines Center following a road loss.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Stars’ last nine night games against Pacific Division opponents at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Oilers’ last five road games against the Stars following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Oilers’ last five games following a home win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Oilers and Stars.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jamie Benn has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last four playoff games.
  • Joe Pavelski has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 10 Friday night home games.
  • Jason Robertson ranks 1st in the Central Division for shootout goals (4) this season.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Evander Kane has scored the first goal in three of the Oilers’ last four night Game 5s of a playoff series.
  • Zach Hyman has scored a goal in four of the Oilers’ last five night Game 5s of a playoff series.
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last six Friday playoff games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded two or more points in each of his last 11 Friday night appearances against Western Conference opponents.
  • Connor McDavid ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.17%).
  • The Dallas Stars rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.83).
  • The Edmonton Oilers are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (33.8).

Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction 

Edmonton looked like they were in tough shape about eight minutes into game four, but they bounced back and picked up a huge win to tie the series at two. Edmonton has actually played pretty solid defense over the last few games, but their offense had struggled before game four. Dallas is scoring fewer than three goals per game this postseason, but Oettinger has been outstanding in goal. Dallas has been a much better road team so far this postseason, so I don’t think the home ice is going to help them much. I liked how Edmonton controlled the last 50 minutes of game four and their depth scoring has been much improved. My Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction is for the Oilers to get the win. 

David Racey's Pick: Oilers ML

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